- Mozambique’s medium-term macroeconomic outlook
- The fiscal outlook – including analysis of the government’s new budget proposal for FY2018
- How the government budget has been impacted by the ‘aid freeze’ – and the prospects for the return of donor funding
- Scenarios for the resolution of the remaining $1.7 billion ‘hidden debt’
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[eventbeeticketwidget frameid=”1″ eid=”159053633″ width=”100%”]Tibana, a lifelong student of the Mozambican economy with decades of experience working at multilateral organisations – including the World Bank and the IMF – brings his unparalleled experience and expertise into his latest quarterly forecast for the Mozambican economy.The event – conducted in English – will see the launch of Dr Tibana’s new series of Quarterly outlooks for the Mozambican economy, and will also see him discuss the government’s latest budget proposal, expected to be tabled to parliament in early October.He will explain and quantify the impact of the aid freeze that resulted from the revelations of the ProIndicus, EMATUM and MAM ‘hidden debts’, and how Mozambique might restructure those outstanding debts, having now defaulted on all three.In a Q&A session after the briefing, held under the Chatham House rule, Tibana and Zitamar News Editor Tom Bowker will discuss with participants this pivotal moment in Mozambique’s history.
About Dr Roberto TibanaEducated at Oxford University, with a D Phil from St Anthony’s College, Tibana now runs his own economics consultancy, Analitica-RJT, and travels with the IMF on staff missions to other African countries – giving him an invaluable perspective on what the IMF is looking for in Mozambique.Decades of work with the World Bank, DfID, and the UNDP among others has included stints developing a macroeconomic forecasting tools for Ghana and advising the finance ministry of Liberia.In 2003, he created the Composite Indicator of Economic Activity in Mozambique (ICAE), in partnership with the OECD, the Government of Mozambique, and Mozambican business association the CTA. The ICAE, whose candid assessments of the economy eventually saw it fall foul of the government, was “motivated by the need to enhance constructive dialogue between domestic private and public sector agents in Mozambique, by providing them with a common tool of knowledge about the long-term and short- to medium-term performance and prospects of the economy, and how this relates to policy.”